Mets vs. Marlins prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/28/2025]

The Miami Marlins will square off with the New York Mets in MLB action at loanDepot park on Sunday, starting at 3:10PM ET.

Edward Cabrera (7-7, 3.66 ERA) will start for the Marlins, while the Mets have opted for Sean Manaea (2-4, 5.80 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Mets-Marlins game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Mets with a win probability of 59%, while the Marlins have 41%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Marlins predictions page.

Marlins vs. Mets prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Marlins 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 59% chance of defeating the Marlins.

According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 60% chance of going over.

Mets vs. Marlins odds [9/28/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mets	Marlins
Run Line	-1.5 (+125)	+1.5 (-142)
Moneyline	-140	+120
Total	o8 (-115)	u8 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Marlins picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Marlins matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's free MLB picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Mets vs. Marlins game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Mets at loanDepot park is scheduled to start at 3:10PM ET.

• Who: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 3:10PM ET/12:10PM PT
• Venue: loanDepot park

Dimers' full preview of Sunday's Mets vs. Marlins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Marlins picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Marlins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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