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Mets vs. Royals Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [7/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Friday's New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals matchup.
The Kansas City Royals will take on the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Kauffman Stadium on Friday, starting at 8:10PM ET.
Michael Wacha (4-9, 3.83 ERA) will get the ball for the Royals, while the Mets are going with Kodai Senga (7-3, 1.47 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.
For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Royals predictions page.
Royals vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Royals 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 54% chance of beating the Royals.
According to our model, the Royals (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 52% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Royals Odds [7/11/2025]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+120) | +1.5 (-140) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +115 |
| Total | o9 (-130) | u9 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Mets vs. Royals Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Mets vs. Royals matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks
Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.
Mets vs. Royals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's MLB game between the Royals and Mets at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:10PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals
- Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
- Time: 8:10PM ET/5:10PM PT
- Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Mets vs. Royals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Mets vs. Royals picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Plus, with Missouri sports betting set to launch on December 1, 2025, Dimers has everything you need—from the latest news and the best pre-registration offers in MO.
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Royals on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Royals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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