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Mets vs. Astros Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win MLB Opening Day Matchup [3/27/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's New York Mets vs Houston Astros matchup.

New York Mets-Houston Astros Predictions and Game Preview.
Daikin Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Houston Astros this Thursday.

MLB Opening Day action continues on Thursday at 4:10PM ET as the New York Mets take on the Houston Astros at Daikin Park.

The Astros will have Framber Valdez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets are going with Clay Holmes (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's NY Mets-Houston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Astros with a win probability of 57% and the Mets with 43%."

For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Astros predictions page.

EXCLUSIVE OFFER: Sign up to Dimers Pro with code MARCH today to enjoy a full month for the price of just one week!

Mets vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win on MLB Opening Day?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Astros 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Astros a 57% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the 8-run over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

 

Mets vs. Astros Odds [3/27/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Astros
Moneyline +102 -115
Total o8 (+100) u8 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Astros Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Astros matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Mets vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Astros and Mets at Daikin Park is scheduled to start at 4:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Mets vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY Mets vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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