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Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win Monday's MLB Matchup [5/19/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Monday's New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox matchup.
MLB action continues on Monday at 6:45PM ET as the New York Mets lock horns with the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox will have Hunter Dobbins (2-1, 3.90 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Kodai Senga (4-2, 1.02 ERA) for the Mets.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's NY Mets-Boston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Mets are likely to win, with a probability of 54%, compared to the Red Sox' 46%."
For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Red Sox predictions page.
Red Sox vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 54% chance of beating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Mets vs. Red Sox Odds [5/19/2025]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+135) | +1.5 (-140) |
| Moneyline | -125 | +110 |
| Total | o9 (-108) | u9 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Mets vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Red Sox matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks
Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.
Mets vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Mets at Fenway Park is scheduled to begin at 6:45PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox
- Date: Monday, May 19, 2025
- Time: 6:45PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Fenway Park
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Mets vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any NY Mets vs. Boston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights
- Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
- Understand where sports odds come from and how they're applied to baseball matchups
- Learn how to use Dimers Futures to find long-term betting opportunities as the World Series draws closer
- Stay informed with where online sports betting is currently legal and which betting sites are safest to use
- Boost your success with strategies to win at sports betting and explore why MLB is one of the best leagues to bet on
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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