Liberty vs. Mercury prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [8/30/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury will take on the New York Liberty in WNBA action at PHX Arena on Saturday, beginning at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Mercury, with the likes of Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, will face off against the Liberty, who feature Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Emma Meesseman.

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Liberty vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA game between the Liberty and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Mercury a 59% chance of beating the Liberty.

According to our model, the Mercury (-1) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Liberty vs. Mercury odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Liberty	Mercury
Spread	+1 (-110)	-1 (-106)
Moneyline	+100	-118
Total	o165.5 (-110)	u165.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Liberty vs. Mercury picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Liberty vs. Mercury matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Liberty vs. Mercury player props

Betting on Liberty vs. Mercury WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty in scoring, while Kahleah Copper is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Liberty vs. Mercury game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between the Mercury and Liberty at PHX Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Liberty vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Liberty vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Sports betting deal available for Saturday

To make the most of Saturday's enormous day of sports, headlined by college football Saturday games, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that scores you $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Liberty on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Liberty vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on WNBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest WNBA news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.