Jets vs. Dolphins prediction: Why Miami is favored to win MNF Week 4, 2025

The Miami Dolphins will face the New York Jets in NFL Week 4 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, beginning at 7:15PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner of today's game.

This gameday Jets vs. Dolphins betting preview builds on my Jets vs. Dolphins prediction that was posted earlier in the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Jets vs. Dolphins predictions page.

Jets vs. Dolphins Predictions

Since our Jets-Dolphins predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NFL matchup between the Jets and Dolphins 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Dolphins a 59% chance of beating the Jets in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Dolphins winning 23-20.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Jets and Dolphins each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.

Jets vs. Dolphins odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jets	Dolphins
Spread	+2.5 (-102)	-2.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+130	-150
Total	o44.5 (-102)	u44.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Jets vs. Dolphins picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Jets vs. Dolphins matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Jets vs. Dolphins TD scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jets vs. Dolphins?

According to our model, Miami's De'Von Achane is most likely to score the first TD in Jets vs. Dolphins.

Our projections give Achane a 17.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins running back is a 58.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

Player	First TD Probability
Justin Fields (QB)	9.8%
Breece Hall (RB)	9.4%
Garrett Wilson (WR)	8.5%

Miami Dolphins

Player	First TD Probability
De'Von Achane (RB)	17.3%
Tyreek Hill (WR)	9.2%
Ollie Gordon (RB)	5.9%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Justin Fields (QB)	36.9%
Breece Hall (RB)	35.7%
Garrett Wilson (WR)	33.0%

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime TD Probability
De'Von Achane (RB)	58.0%
Tyreek Hill (WR)	37.0%
Ollie Gordon (RB)	25.8%

Jets vs Dolphins player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jets and Dolphins. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Jets-Dolphins page now to access every player prop projection.

Jets vs. Dolphins quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Justin Fields is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa.

Jets rushing

Breece Hall, Justin Fields and Braelon Allen are projected to be the leading rushers for the Jets.

Player	Position
Breece Hall	RB
Justin Fields	QB
Braelon Allen	RB

Dolphins rushing

De'Von Achane, Ollie Gordon and Malik Washington are expected to lead the Dolphins in rushing yards.

Player	Position
De'Von Achane	RB
Ollie Gordon	RB
Malik Washington	WR

Jets receiving

Garrett Wilson, Mason Taylor, Breece Hall, Josh Reynolds and Tyler Johnson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Jets.

Player	Position
Garrett Wilson	WR
Mason Taylor	TE
Breece Hall	RB
Josh Reynolds	WR
Tyler Johnson	WR

Dolphins receiving

Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, De'Von Achane, Malik Washington and Darren Waller are projected to lead the Dolphins in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Tyreek Hill	WR
Jaylen Waddle	WR
De'Von Achane	RB
Malik Washington	WR
Darren Waller	TE

Jets vs. Dolphins game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Dolphins and Jets at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:15PM ET.

• Who: New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins
• Date: Monday, September 29, 2025
• Time: 7:15PM ET/4:15PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

Dimers' comprehensive preview of this week's Jets vs. Dolphins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jets vs. Dolphins picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Dolphins, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jets vs. Dolphins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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