Giants vs. Commanders prediction: Why Washington is favored to win in NFL Week 1, 2025

The Washington Commanders and New York Giants are scheduled to meet in Week 1 of the NFL season at Northwest Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Giants-Commanders game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Commanders with a win probability of 74%, while the Giants have 26%."

This updated Giants vs. Commanders betting preview builds on my Giants vs. Commanders prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Giants vs. Commanders predictions page.

Giants vs. Commanders Predictions

Since our Giants-Commanders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Giants and Commanders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Commanders a 74% chance of defeating the Giants in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 26-19.

According to our model, the Commanders (-6) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 45.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Giants vs. Commanders odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Giants	Commanders
Spread	+6 (-110)	-6 (-105)
Moneyline	+230	-275
Total	o45.5 (-110)	u45.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Giants vs. Commanders picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Giants vs. Commanders matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season, with today's best NFL bets populating now.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Giants vs. Commanders TD scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Giants vs. Commanders?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 1, Washington's Austin Ekeler is most likely to score the first TD in Giants vs. Commanders.

Our projections give Ekeler a 9.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Commanders running back is a 39.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First touchdown scorer predictions

New York Giants

Player	First TD Probability
Tyrone Tracy (RB)	8.3%
Malik Nabers (WR)	8.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR)	4.2%

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Austin Ekeler (RB)	9.9%
Jayden Daniels (QB)	8.8%
Terry McLaurin (WR)	8.6%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New York Giants

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Tyrone Tracy (RB)	35.1%
Malik Nabers (WR)	34.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR)	19.5%

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Austin Ekeler (RB)	39.1%
Jayden Daniels (QB)	35.5%
Terry McLaurin (WR)	34.7%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Giants vs Commanders player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Giants and Commanders. For more, check out today's highest-probability NFL prop bets.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Giants-Commanders page now to access every player prop projection.

Giants vs. Commanders quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Giants' Russell Wilson is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Commanders' Jayden Daniels.

Giants rushing

Tyrone Tracy, Cam Skattebo and Devin Singletary are projected to be the leading rushers for the Giants.

Player	Position
Tyrone Tracy	RB
Cam Skattebo	RB
Devin Singletary	RB

Commanders rushing

Jayden Daniels, Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Austin Ekeler are expected to lead the Commanders in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Jayden Daniels	QB
Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB
Austin Ekeler	RB

Giants receiving

Malik Nabers, Wan'Dale Robinson, Darius Slayton, Theo Johnson and Tyrone Tracy are projected to top the receiving yards for the Giants.

Player	Position
Malik Nabers	WR
Wan'Dale Robinson	WR
Darius Slayton	WR
Theo Johnson	TE
Tyrone Tracy	RB

Commanders receiving

Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel, Zach Ertz, Noah Brown and Austin Ekeler are projected to lead the Commanders in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Terry McLaurin	WR
Deebo Samuel	WR
Zach Ertz	TE
Noah Brown	WR
Austin Ekeler	RB

Giants vs. Commanders game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 1 action between the Commanders and Giants at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Giants vs. Commanders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Giants vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Week 1 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Giants vs. Commanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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