NBA Same Game Parlay Picks for Clippers vs. Nuggets Game 6 on Thursday, May 1

The first round of the NBA Playoffs is beginning to wind down and could see two more series come to a close tonight, Thursday May 1. We're eyeing the late-night Clippers-Nuggets Game 6 contest with a +468 NBA Playoffs Parlay at Caesars sportsbook.

Two games take the court on Thursday for Game 6 in each series: Knicks vs. Pistons, and Nuggets vs. Clippers. You can view our full NBA game predictions to see each game's ML, Spread and total pick, as well as our boxscore projections which are the key part of this NBA playoff parlay, which comes in at +468 odds on Caesars Sportsbook.

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For tonight's NBA Playoffs Parlay, we're using data from our Dimers Pro Best NBA Props, all sourced by our in-house predictive models that run 1000s of simulations on every NBA game, every day.

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+468 NBA Playoffs Parlay Picks - Thursday, May 1

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our four parlay legs on Thursday, May 1.

MORE: NBA Playoffs First Round Predictions

Leg 1: Kawhi Leonard Over 24.5 Points

It's all or nothing for the Clippers tonight and they'll need Kawhi Leonard to step up with a vintage Klaw performance to force Game 7.

Kawhi dropped 39 in the Clippers Game 2 win proving that he's still got the superstar ceiling in his game when it matters, which could be on display tonight.

This line steamed down a point after opening at 25.5, which has moved in our favor with the DimersBOT gives him a 26.0 point projection in Game 6. With the game on the line, our model expects Leonard to step up in the clutch and rain buckets, which correlates well with our next leg.

Leg 2: James Harden Over 9.5 Assists

After a 32-point, 11-assist Game 1 performance, the Nuggets' gameplan has adapted in this series and clamped down on James Harden, with his points output declining. He's been dropping the dimes though, putting up 11 twice and 9 once in this series.

DimersBOT not only projects him for 11.1 assists, clearing his line by a little buffer, but Harden to go over 9.5 AST is also one of our best value bets of the night.

At a 59.1% probability, you can get a 9.1% edge against his best odds of +100, making this one of our strongest single plays in Game 6.

Leg 3: Norman Powell Over 17.5 Points

We'll close out with another points prop with Clippers guard Normal Powell to clear his 17.5 line.

Powell hit this in Games 3 and 4 with 20+ points in each - both games saw him take the most trips to the charity stripe, while the three games he went under he attempted 2 or fewer free throws. He was also most accurate from three in those games, something he'll need to get back to in Game 6 with every possession that much more important.

Our model projects Powell for 19.5 PTS, bolstered by his 2.7 3PM projection, predicting him to find his shot after going just 1-5 in the Game 5 blowout.

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