NBA First Basket Predictions for Sunday Include Donovan Mitchell, Stephen Curry [5/4/2025]

This Sunday, May 4th, we have another big day of professional hoops ahead of us, headlined by the Pacers' matchup against the Cavaliers at 6:00PM ET.

After evaluating Sunday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data experts have revealed their best first basket bet of the day.

Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has selected as having the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Sunday.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Sunday's NBA games are expected to feature star players such as Donovan Mitchell, Stephen Curry and Alperen Sengun, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for May 4, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	15.4%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	15.0%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	13.7%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	12.1%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)	11.7%
Dillon Brooks (Rockets)	10.3%
Amen Thompson (Rockets)	10.1%
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)	10.0%
Myles Turner (Pacers)	10.0%
Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)	9.9%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Donovan Mitchell, with a probability of 15.4%.

Following Mitchell closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Stephen Curry at 15.0% and Alperen Sengun at 13.7%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Sunday, 5/4/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket

• Odds: +1300
• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 10%
• Game: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Pacers and Cavaliers. The bet is on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.8% according to our analysis.

Our model not only highlights Haliburton for him 2.8% betting edge but also ranks him among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the preceding list.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

• Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
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• Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games

NBA Schedule for Today [5/4/2025]

• Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Warriors vs. Rockets (8:30PM ET, Sunday)

For more betting guides, check out Sunday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Sunday.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 4, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 4, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, May 4, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.