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NBA First Basket Predictions for Wednesday Include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Anthony Edwards [5/28/2025]
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's NBA first basket market.

This Wednesday, May 28th, we have another big day of NBA basketball ahead of us, with the Timberwolves taking on the Thunder at 8:30PM ET.
After analyzing Wednesday's NBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in Wednesday's lone game.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Wednesday's NBA slate is expected to showcase star players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for May 28, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's NBA game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) | 14.3% |
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | 13.4% |
Julius Randle (Timberwolves) | 13.4% |
Jalen Williams (Thunder) | 11.0% |
Chet Holmgren (Thunder) | 10.2% |
Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves) | 9.5% |
Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder) | 9.4% |
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves) | 8.6% |
Mike Conley (Timberwolves) | 5.1% |
Luguentz Dort (Thunder) | 5.1% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in Wednesday's clash is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 14.3%.
Following Gilgeous-Alexander closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Anthony Edwards at 13.4% and Julius Randle at 13.4%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Wednesday, 5/28/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting pick for Wednesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Jaden McDaniels To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1100
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 9.5%
- Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Thunder (8:30PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Timberwolves and Thunder. The bet is on Jaden McDaniels (MIN) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 1.2% according to our analysis.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [5/28/2025]
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder (8:30PM ET, Wednesday)
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 28, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 28, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of our NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, May 28, have been generated after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
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This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
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