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NBA First Basket Predictions for Sunday Include Jalen Brunson, Pascal Siakam [5/25/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert analysis on Sunday's NBA first basket market.
This Sunday, May 25th, another big day of NBA action is on the cards, with the Knicks taking on the Pacers at 8:00PM ET.
After reviewing Sunday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has selected as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in Sunday's lone game.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Sunday's NBA game is expected to showcase big names such as Jalen Brunson, Pascal Siakam and Karl-Anthony Towns, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for May 25, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Sunday's NBA game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket.
| Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson (Knicks) | 14.4% |
| Pascal Siakam (Pacers) | 12.8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks) | 11.3% |
| Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) | 10.3% |
| Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) | 9.8% |
| Mikal Bridges (Knicks) | 9.8% |
| Myles Turner (Pacers) | 9.0% |
| Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) | 8.1% |
| OG Anunoby (Knicks) | 7.8% |
| Josh Hart (Knicks) | 6.7% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in Sunday's clash is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 14.4%.
Following Brunson closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Pascal Siakam at 12.8% and Karl-Anthony Towns at 11.3%.
Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Sunday, 5/25/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting pick for Sunday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Aaron Nesmith To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1200
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 9.8%
- Game: Knicks vs. Pacers (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate in the game between the Knicks and Pacers. The bet is on Aaron Nesmith (IND) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.2% according to our analysis.
Our model not only highlights Nesmith for his 2.2% betting edge but also ranks him among the top five most first basket likely scorers for today's Knicks vs. Pacers matchup, as seen in the preceding list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [5/25/2025]
- Knicks vs. Pacers (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 25, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 25, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Sunday, May 25, have been made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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