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NBA First Basket Predictions for Wednesday Include Jalen Brunson, Pascal Siakam [5/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's NBA first basket market.
This Wednesday, May 21st, we have another big day of NBA basketball upon us, with the Pacers taking on the Knicks at 8:00PM ET.
After evaluating Wednesday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has selected as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in Wednesday's lone game.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Wednesday's NBA game is expected to showcase players such as Jalen Brunson, Pascal Siakam and Karl-Anthony Towns, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for May 21, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's NBA game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket.
| Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson (Knicks) | 14.0% |
| Pascal Siakam (Pacers) | 12.5% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks) | 11.8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) | 9.8% |
| Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) | 9.5% |
| Myles Turner (Pacers) | 9.4% |
| Mikal Bridges (Knicks) | 9.4% |
| Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) | 8.9% |
| OG Anunoby (Knicks) | 7.7% |
| Josh Hart (Knicks) | 7.1% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in Wednesday's clash is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 14.0%.
Following Brunson closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Pascal Siakam at 12.5% and Karl-Anthony Towns at 11.8%.
Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Wednesday, 5/21/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket betting pick for Wednesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Aaron Nesmith To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1300
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 9.5%
- Matchup: Pacers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA slate in the game between the Pacers and Knicks. The bet is on Aaron Nesmith (IND) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.3% according to our analysis.
Our model not only highlights Nesmith for his 2.3% betting edge but also ranks him among the top five most first basket likely scorers for today's Pacers vs. Knicks game, as seen in the preceding list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [5/21/2025]
- Pacers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 21, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 21, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, May 21, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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