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NBA First Basket Predictions for Wednesday Include Miles Bridges, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander [3/12/2025]
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's NBA first basket market.

This Wednesday, March 12th, another action-packed day of NBA action is on the menu, headlined by the Thunder's matchup against the Celtics at 7:30PM ET.
After going over Wednesday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Wednesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Wednesday's NBA games are expected to showcase players such as Miles Bridges, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Ivica Zubac, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for March 12, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Miles Bridges (Hornets) | 16.0% |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) | 15.4% |
Ivica Zubac (Clippers) | 15.3% |
Jayson Tatum (Celtics) | 14.6% |
Ja Morant (Grizzlies) | 14.4% |
Jaylen Brown (Celtics) | 14.1% |
Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers) | 13.7% |
Jakob Poeltl (Raptors) | 13.4% |
Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks) | 13.3% |
Bam Adebayo (Heat) | 13.2% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Miles Bridges, with a probability of 16.0%.
Following Bridges closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 15.4% and Ivica Zubac at 15.3%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Wednesday, 3/12/2025]
After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Wednesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Collin Sexton To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 11.6%
- Matchup: Jazz vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Jazz and Grizzlies. The bet is on Collin Sexton (UTA) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.5% according to our analysis.
Although Sexton doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Wednesday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those aiming for an edge on the market.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [3/12/2025]
- Thunder vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Suns vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Clippers vs. Heat (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
For more betting guides, check out Wednesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday.
Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: March 12, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 12, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Wednesday, March 12, have been made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
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