NBA First Basket Predictions for Tuesday Include Giannis Antetokounmpo, Zion Williamson [3/11/2025]

This Tuesday, March 11th, it's time for a big day of NBA action, headlined by the Wizards' matchup against the Pistons at 7:00PM ET.

After scrutinizing Tuesday's NBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have revealed their best first basket bet of the day.

Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Tuesday.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Tuesday's NBA slate is expected to showcase star players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for March 11, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	18.2%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	16.1%
Jordan Poole (Wizards)	15.7%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	14.5%
Ivica Zubac (Clippers)	14.2%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)	13.8%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)	13.1%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	12.9%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	12.8%
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)	12.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 18.2%.

Following Antetokounmpo closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Zion Williamson at 16.1% and Jordan Poole at 15.7%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Tuesday, 3/11/2025]

After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket betting pick for Tuesday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Aaron Nesmith To Score First Basket

• Odds: +1700
• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 9.6%
• Game: Bucks vs. Pacers (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA slate in the game between the Bucks and Pacers. The bet is on Aaron Nesmith (IND) at odds of +1700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.0% according to our analysis.

Although Nesmith doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Tuesday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those looking to gain an edge on the market.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

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NBA Schedule for Today [3/11/2025]

• Wizards vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Bucks vs. Pacers (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)

For more betting guides, check out Tuesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 11, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 11, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, March 11, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

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