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NBA First Basket Predictions for Saturday Include Giannis Antetokounmpo, Stephen Curry [3/1/2025]
Our expert analysis on Saturday's NBA first basket market.

This Saturday, March 1st, we have another exciting day of NBA basketball ahead of us, headlined by the Kings' matchup against the Rockets at 8:00PM ET.
After evaluating Saturday's NBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has selected as having the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Saturday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Saturday's NBA games are expected to showcase big names such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Stephen Curry and De'Aaron Fox, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for March 1, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) | 17.6% |
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 16.8% |
De'Aaron Fox (Spurs) | 13.3% |
Tyrese Maxey (76ers) | 13.2% |
Jalen Green (Rockets) | 13.0% |
Cade Cunningham (Pistons) | 12.9% |
Nic Claxton (Nets) | 12.7% |
Miles Bridges (Hornets) | 12.6% |
Alperen Sengun (Rockets) | 12.2% |
Khris Middleton (Wizards) | 12.2% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 17.6%.
Following Antetokounmpo closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Stephen Curry at 16.8% and De'Aaron Fox at 13.3%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Saturday, 3/1/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket betting pick for Saturday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket
- Odds: +850
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 12.1%
- Matchup: Kings vs. Rockets (8:00PM EST)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday's NBA slate in the game between the Kings and Rockets. The bet is on DeMar DeRozan (SAC) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 1.6% according to our analysis.
Dimers' model not only highlights DeRozan for him 1.6% betting edge but also ranks him among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the preceding list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Saturday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [3/1/2025]
- Kings vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Warriors vs. 76ers (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
- Bucks vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
For more betting guides, check out Saturday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Saturday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 1, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 1, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Saturday, March 1, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.