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NBA First Basket Predictions for Tuesday Include Paolo Banchero, Jordan Poole [1/21/2025]
Our expert analysis on Tuesday's NBA first basket market.

This Tuesday, January 21st, another action-packed day of NBA basketball is on the cards, headlined by the Trail Blazers' matchup against the Heat at 7:30PM ET.
After examining Tuesday's NBA simulation results early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
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Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Tuesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Tuesday's NBA games are expected to feature big names such as Paolo Banchero, Jordan Poole and Tyrese Maxey, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First NBA Basket Tonight? [Cheat Sheet for January 21, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Paolo Banchero (Magic) | 15.3% |
Jordan Poole (Wizards) | 15.2% |
Tyrese Maxey (76ers) | 14.3% |
Jalen Brunson (Knicks) | 14.1% |
LeBron James (Lakers) | 14.0% |
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) | 13.8% |
Cameron Johnson (Nets) | 13.8% |
Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks) | 13.5% |
Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers) | 13.1% |
RJ Barrett (Raptors) | 12.9% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Paolo Banchero, with a probability of 15.3%.
Following Banchero closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jordan Poole at 15.2% and Tyrese Maxey at 14.3%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Tuesday, 1/21/2025]
After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Tuesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Jordan Poole To Score First Basket
- Odds: +850
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 15.2%
- Matchup: Wizards vs. Lakers (10:30PM EST)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Wizards and Lakers. The bet is on Jordan Poole (WAS) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.7% according to our analysis.
Not only does Poole present an edge according to the model, but he is also among our top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
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To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [1/21/2025]
- Trail Blazers vs. Heat (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- Magic vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- 76ers vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Wizards vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET, Tuesday)
For more betting guides, check out Tuesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: January 21, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for January 21, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, January 21, have been made after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More on NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.