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Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [3/2/2024]

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Written by Dimers Data
Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [3/2/2024]

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens will meet in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview for Saturday's Canadiens vs. Lightning matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and data analysis to simulate the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Canadiens and Lightning 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL picks.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 68% chance of beating the Canadiens.

According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of going under.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Canadiens Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (-106) -1.5 (-105)
Moneyline +225 -275
Total o6.5 (-112) u6.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Picks

Our predictions, matched with the best odds, reveal the top betting picks to place on this game, detailed in Dimers' NHL best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Canadiens +1.5 -106
Moneyline Canadiens +225
Total Under 6.5 -105

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, betting on the Canadiens moneyline is the best option due to the 1.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 46.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player First Goal Probability
Cole Caufield 6.8%
Nick Suzuki 5.9%
Juraj Slafkovsky 4.6%
Alex Newhook 4.0%
Josh Anderson 3.1%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 9.4%
Nikita Kucherov 8.1%
Brandon Hagel 7.7%
Steven Stamkos 6.2%
Anthony Cirelli 3.6%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Cole Caufield 33.9%
Nick Suzuki 31.1%
Juraj Slafkovsky 27.5%
Alex Newhook 21.5%
Josh Anderson 19.0%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 46.1%
Brandon Hagel 41.4%
Nikita Kucherov 40.2%
Steven Stamkos 35.0%
Nick Paul 21.7%

Habs vs. Lightning Game Information

Saturday's action between the Lightning and Canadiens at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Canadiens vs. Lightning includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Conclusion

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Lightning insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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