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Mojo Fantasy Optimal Lineup - Vikings vs. Eagles on Thursday Night Football

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Mojo Fantasy Optimal Lineup - Vikings vs. Eagles on Thursday Night Football

If you love fantasy sports and are familiar with wagering on prop bets, or if you have an affinity for the trading game, whether it be stocks, collectibles or anything else, then you’re going to want to check out Mojo’s all-new fantasy offering!

Buy and Sell Player Props in a Unique Sports Stock Market

Mojo Fantasy exists at a unique intersection of sports betting sites and daily fantasy. Its dynamic live market with moving probability-based odds is a truly unique experience. You build a portfolio of at least four of your best player props from two teams or more. Unlike any other Daily Fantasy App, each player prop can be tracked and traded in real-time as the live odds change based on the game's momentum. 

Instead of playing against the house or the sportsbook, you’re playing against the crowd, just like in DFS contests. The higher your portfolio grows, the higher you move up the leaderboard. On Mojo Fantasy, you can make picks, make moves, and make money!  

If you’re looking for a deep dive into what Mojo Fantasy offers, check out our new player introduction here.

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Before we get started, it wouldn’t make sense to sign up for Mojo Fantasy without getting yourself a $100 deposit match on the house! The best way to take on the crowd is with a little extra scratch in your pocket.

Follow these steps if you haven’t already signed up at Mojo Fantasy. If you have an account, jump to our lineup insights below!

    1. Hit the link to sign up at Mojo Fantasy here
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    3. Build your portfolio and compete against the crowd!
 

Anyone 18 years old or older can play Mojo Fantasy, as long as you’re physically located in one of these 20 states: AR, CA, DC, FL, GA, IL, KS, MN, NE, NM, NC, ND, OK, OR, RI, SD, TX, WI, WV, and WY.

Today’s Optimal Mojo Fantasy Lineup – Thursday, September 14

We’re looking at Mojo’s $25 NFL Thursday Throwdown contest, but don’t forget they have free-to-play contests as well!

For this lineup, we’re going to play Mojo’s Double-Up contest. A super common format on DFS platforms, contestants who play Double Up have the objective of finishing in the top half of the contest. If your portfolio finishes in the top 50%, you double your buy-in. It’s that simple.

NFL Thursday Throwdown | Buy-in: $25 | Potential Payout: $50

Starting Portfolio value: $500

Stock 1 – T.J. Hockenson Under 47.5 Receiving Yards

Hockenson's receptions prop is actually our model's favorite of the entire slate, but we're looking at his yards instead. At BetMGM, 99% of the public bets are on the Over for his receptions, so we're looking at a true fade the public moment. He picked up 8 receptions on 9 targets last week, mustering only 35 yards, which is why we're attacking his receiving line rather than receptions. He might pick up 5 catches, but if everything is across the middle, he may not rack up the yards.

Mojo has set the price for Hock's under at $0.50 which means a 50/50 probability of hitting, showing us some serious value given the fact that our model projects Hockenson with a 75.4% chance to go under. It's never a bad idea to zig when the majority are zagging, especially in a DFS style contest.

Investment: $100 to return $201.61

Stock 2 – Jalen Hurts Under 254.5 Passing Yards

Last season, including the Super Bowl and playoffs, Jalen Hurts went over this number just 6 times out of 20 games. He finished with more than 22.5 completions (his line for TNF) just four times. As talented and prolific of a player as Hurts is, he's not an incredibly high-volume passer, with his legs doing a lot of work and the Eagles' run game a major part of their gameplan.

Mojo has Hurts' Under priced at $0.54 while our model says it should be closer to $0.66. This gives us a 12% edge in value for a line that hits at a rate well above the implied probability. Even in a loss, the Vikings held Baker Mayfield (no, he's not as good as Jalen Hurts, of course) to 173 yards in Week 1.

Investment: $100 to return $184.26

 

Stock 3 – Dallas Goedert Under 4.5 Receptions

Targeted once and without a catch in Week 1, Dallas Goedert looked like an afterthought in the Eagles' offense. He was a key cog in their passing game last season and this is more likely to be an outlier across the rest of the season than a pattern, but it wasn't what anyone with Goedert as their fantasy tight end wanted to see. Granted, the game got away from the Eagles a bit, and they were more focused on getting out of Week 1 without suffering the same fate as their fellow Super Bowl contestants, the Chiefs.

While we wouldn't read too much into his usage from a long-term perspective, in the quick turnaround from Sunday, our model isn't expecting things to swing in Goedert's favor, projecting him with a 61.3% chance to go under this number, while Mojo has priced him at $0.56 giving us a bit of an edge.

Investment: $100 to return $180.08

Stock 4 – T.J. Hockenson Anytime TD

Why take Hockenson's TD prop if we're fading his yards? A few reasons. For starters, we're betting on value. Mojo has priced Hockenson at $0.30 to score an anytime TD but we've identified him with a 33.9% probability to score, meaning an almost 4% edge in his price. Additionally, out of Hockenson's 18 career TDs, 12 of them have been less than 10 yards, with five of them three yards or fewer. He doesn't break monster TDs and we can see him being a big red zone target. Finally, if he does go over his yards mark but also cashes this TD, then we're not losing so much in the portfolio.

Investment: $100 to return $333.67

Stock 5 – Jalen Hurts Anytime TD

We've gotta end with some star power and we're going back to Jalen Hurts but this time for a TD prop. Hurts had 13 rushing touchdowns last season and we don't envision his role changing drastically as the Eagles didn't overhaul their offense, aside from swapping Miles Sanders for D'Andre Swift.

Mojo set this price for a Hurts TD at $0.52 and our model projects him for right on target with a 52.8% chance of finding paydirt tonight. While we're not getting an edge, this is a fair price and almost every other TD scorer is priced too high based on our model's projections.

Investment: $100 to return $191.50

Total Investment: $500

Potential Portfolio Return: $1,0911.12

Download the Mojo Fantasy app today!

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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