MLB player props today: Top Thursday plays include Ryan Pepiot [9/4/2025]

Our MLB player props for Thursday, September 4, 2025, are locked in, generated through groundbreaking simulations and machine learning techniques.

These MLB player props are here today to enhance your betting strategy and feature players such as Ryan Pepiot, Taj Bradley and Brooks Lee.

Three of today's prop betting opportunities are listed below, with Dimers Pro subscribers getting unlimited access to our full suite of prop picks and today's MLB pitcher projections.

Today's full list of MLB prop bets is led by a player in the Guardians vs. Rays game to go over his outs recorded line, with our in-house predictive model finding an edge of 13% at +134 odds.

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List of MLB prop bets for Thursday

While the MLB prop picks on this page for Thursday are sorted by win probability, betting on likelihood alone means leaving money on the table.

Astute bettors chase edge—not just probability—and the highest-edge picks are reserved for Dimers Pro users to give them the best chance at winning.

Ryan Pepiot over 1.5 earned runs (-170)

• Probability: 65.7%
• Edge: 2.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (7:35PM ET)

Our model has found a strong MLB prop for Thursday's Guardians vs. Rays game, focusing on Tampa Bay's Ryan Pepiot. With a 65.7% chance of hitting, we suggest betting on Ryan Pepiot over 1.5 earned runs at -170 odds, offering an edge of 2.8%.

Taj Bradley over 1.5 earned runs (-140)

• Probability: 65.3%
• Edge: 7.0%
• Game: White Sox vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Our model has discovered another high-probability prop for Thursday's MLB action, with Minnesota's Taj Bradley in our sights in the White Sox-Twins game. We suggest betting on Taj Bradley over 1.5 earned runs at -140 odds, backed by a 65.3% likelihood of hitting and a 7.0% edge.

Brooks Lee to get a hit (-155)

• Probability: 64.8%
• Edge: 4.0%
• Game: White Sox vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

According to our analysis, another strong prop for Thursday's MLB action focuses on Minnesota's Brooks Lee in the White Sox vs. Twins matchup. The recommended bet is Brooks Lee to get a hit at -155 odds, with a 64.8% chance of hitting and a 4.0% edge.

MLB player prop picks: Thursday, September 4, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top three props by probability according to our model as of 6:58PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Probability	Edge
Guardians vs. Rays	Ryan Pepiot Over 1.5 Earned Runs	-170 @ DraftKings	65.7%	2.8%
White Sox vs. Twins	Taj Bradley Over 1.5 Earned Runs	-140 @ DraftKings	65.3%	7.0%
White Sox vs. Twins	Brooks Lee To Get a Hit	-155 @ BetMGM	64.8%	4.0%

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Thursday's MLB props include a standout play with an edge of 13% on the best available odds—the kind of high-value bet you won't find by chasing probability alone.

Dimers Pro users have access to 78 MLB player props at the time of writing, all backed by real betting value.

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More on MLB

The prop bets on this page are part of our MLB player props and MLB best bets series.

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Conclusion

For September 4, 2025, our MLB prop bets are locked and loaded, featuring players like Ryan Pepiot, Taj Bradley and Brooks Lee. Powered by the latest data and cutting-edge simulations, these picks are here to make sure you're betting smarter, not harder.

With the help of AI and automation, this article delivers today's MLB prop bets and insights quickly and accurately, while human oversight ensures high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions.

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