MLB Parlay: Two Home Run Picks to Parlay on Friday, July 18

If you're wondering who will hit a home run today, then you've come to the right place!

The 2025 MLB season is back from the All-Star Break today with a full slate, and there's a new FanDuel Sportsbook bonus available, offering "Five Days of Dingers" Home Run profit boosts, which we're pairing with the power of Dimers Pro for today's +2842 home run parlay.

If you're new to MLB betting, Dimers Pro offers a suite of MLB betting tools for users of all experience, whether you're using our best home run props or our full MLB predictions, there's something for everyone.

How To Use FanDuel's "Five Days of Dingers" Promo Boost

Opt in to the promo on FanDuel Sportsbook to receive a 50% Profit Boost Token to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for today's MLB games.

You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).

MORE: Dimers Intern Flips $5 into $2K With Home Run Projections

Say you use your Profit Boost Token on home run leader and HR Derby King Cal Raleigh at +250. Your 50% Profit Boost Token turns that into a +375 bet, meaning a $25 wager will now win $93.75 instead of $62.50.

Dimers Pro gives you access to daily HR prop predictions —dozens of options on packed slates like today's—and highlights which bets carry positive expected value against the sportsbooks. Combined with FanDuel's weekly Dinger Tuesday boosts, that edge can turn a single swing into a big payday.

Home Run Parlay Picks - Friday, July 18

Below, you'll find our two home run picks that make up our +2842 parlay.

Looking for more home run bets?

Dimers Pro users can access every home run probabilities for every single player here which will allow you to sort by probability, player or individual games. We also drop our Top 25 Home Run Probabilities in our Dimers Pro VIP Discord every day, where our users are putting the data to work, like our new intern who turned $5 into $2K using these very projections.

Home Run Bet: Cal Raleigh (Mariners)

• Game: Mariners vs. Astros
• Dimers Probability: 21.3%
• FanDuel Odds: +250

We're starting off with none other than MLB's current home run leader and the HR Derby King, Cal Raleigh.

Raleigh is having his best season ever by a mile - 38 home runs, a .634 SLG and a 98th percentile barrel rate. Except for Aaron Judge, there is no better home run hitter in the league right now, not even Shohei Ohtani.

Raleigh's nice and rested after exerting some extra effort to win the Derby on Monday night and he gets a solid matchup against Astros lefthander Brandon Walter.

Walter's metrics are very sound, he's 82nd percentile for Barrel % yet he's allowed 8 home runs in just 40.1 innings pitched, giving up at least one home run in every start except his first of the year.

His pitch mix is pretty evenly spread, but primarily throws Cutter (29%) and Sweeper (22%), and unsurprisingly, Raleigh has positive run value against every pitch this season, particularly slugging the fastball of which these pitchers are variations. He's also much better against lefties, slugging .853 with 16 of his HR in just 102 AB.

The Dimers Pro model gives Raleigh a 21.3% probability to go yard tonight.

Home Run Bet: Juan Soto (Mets)

• Game: Mets vs. Reds
• Dimers Probability: 18.2%
• FanDuel Odds: +470

For leg number two, we're looking at both a value pick and a strong probability on one of the league's hottest players entering the Al-Star Break.

Juan Soto is barreling the ball harder than anyone except for Aaron Judge over the past month with 14 HR in that span and his overall Statcast bleeds red (that's very good).

He'll get the Reds who will trot out starter Nick Lodolo and a bullpen that has served up 45 dingers this year, 7th most in the bigs.

Save for his final start vs. the lowly Marlins before the ASB, Lodolo had allowed a home run in six straight starts. He's good at minimizing walks and getting hitters to chase, but his home run metrics are all in the bottom half of the league.

We do face a lefty vs. lefty matchup wwhich isn't teh easiest, however Soto has 4 HR off lefties this year and he crushes every single one of Lodolo's top pitches (4-seam, curve, change).

DimersBOT gives Soto an 18.2% probability to hit a home run for fair odds of +450 and a little value.

FanDuel Sportsbook Disclaimer

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit  FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit  ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit  ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit  www.mdgamblinghelp.org  (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Set limits on time and money spent, and never chase losses. Understand the risks and make informed decisions. Know when to take breaks and seek support if needed. Remember, responsible gambling is about having fun while maintaining control.