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Home run predictions for Wednesday include Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh [9/17/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for September 17, 2025, are based on Wednesday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, September 17, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge topping the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Wednesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for September 17, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 25.0%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 22.0%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 21.4%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 🔒
Jo Adell (Angels) 🔒
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.0% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (22.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (21.4%).

Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Aaron Judge 2025.
Aaron Judge features in our home run predictions on Wednesday, September 17, 2025.

Wednesday's home run picks [9/17/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Elly De La Cruz (Reds) to hit a home run

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Cincinnati slugger Elly De La Cruz offers standout value at +1000 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.2%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Andre Pallante on the mound for the Cardinals, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Cruz has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Wednesday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 104 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, September 17, 2025]

Conclusion

For September 17, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Elly De La Cruz who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 4.2% edge at +1000 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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