Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [9/23/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, September 23, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for September 23, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	26.3%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	25.2%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	24.5%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)	🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays)	🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics)	🔒
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees)	🔒
Jo Adell (Angels)	🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins)	🔒
Ben Rice (Yankees)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.3% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (25.2%) and Kyle Schwarber (24.5%).

Nick Kurtz and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [9/23/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Marcell Ozuna (Braves) to hit a home run

• Probability: 17.2%
• Odds: +700
• Edge: 4.7%
• Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Brad Lord

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Atlanta slugger Marcell Ozuna offers standout value at +700 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.7%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Brad Lord on the mound for the Nationals, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Ozuna one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a loaded MLB schedule.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 92 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, September 23, 2025]

• Rays vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Tuesday)
• Tigers vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Pirates vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Tuesday)
• Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mets vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Twins vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Royals vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Tuesday)
• Dodgers vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Cardinals vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For September 23, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Marcell Ozuna who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 4.7% edge at +700 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

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