Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton [9/16/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, September 16, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge leading the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for September 16, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	24.7%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	22.6%
Junior Caminero (Rays)	22.4%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	🔒
Jo Adell (Angels)	🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins)	🔒
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners)	🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.7% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (22.6%) and Junior Caminero (22.4%).

Kyle Schwarber and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [9/16/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jac Caglianone (Royals) to hit a home run

• Probability: 14.2%
• Odds: +950
• Edge: 4.7%
• Game: Mariners vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Logan Gilbert

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Kansas City slugger Jac Caglianone offers serious value at +950 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.7%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Logan Gilbert in tonight's Mariners-Royals matchup, Caglianone shapes up as one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a packed MLB slate.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 140 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, September 16, 2025]

• Cubs vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Guardians vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Athletics vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Padres vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)
• Blue Jays vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mariners vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Orioles vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Yankees vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Angels vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Reds vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rangers vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Tuesday)
• Phillies vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Tuesday)

Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" — perfect for home run betting

To make the most of our dinger picks, headlined by the strong betting edge on Jac Caglianone, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code of "DIMERS" that secures $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet – win or lose.

Conclusion

For September 16, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Junior Caminero projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jac Caglianone who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 4.7% edge at +950 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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