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Home run predictions for Friday include Aaron Judge, Nick Kurtz [8/8/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions today are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, August 8, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.


Home run predictions for August 8, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 23.6%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 23.2%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 22.5%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.6% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (23.2%) and Shohei Ohtani (22.5%).

Cal Raleigh and Nick Kurtz are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep..

Aaron Judge 2025.
Aaron Judge features in our home run predictions on Friday, August 8, 2025.

Friday's home run picks [8/8/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jo Adell (Angels) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 17.2%
  • Odds: +700
  • Edge: 4.7%
  • Game: Angels vs. Tigers (7:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Tarik Skubal

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Los Angeles slugger Jo Adell offers standout value at +700 with Bet365, showing an edge of 4.7%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Tarik Skubal in tonight's Angels-Tigers matchup, Adell shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 111 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Friday, August 8, 2025]

Conclusion

For August 8, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jo Adell who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 4.7% edge at +700 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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