Home run predictions for Thursday include Cal Raleigh, Brent Rooker [8/7/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, August 7, 2025, are here—with Cal Raleigh topping the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for August 7, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	20.7%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)	20.5%
Shea Langeliers (Athletics)	20.4%
Brent Rooker (Athletics)	🔒
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners)	🔒
Matt Olson (Braves)	🔒
Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics)	🔒
Kyle Stowers (Marlins)	🔒
Oneil Cruz (Pirates)	🔒
Dominic Canzone (Mariners)	🔒

Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.7% chance to go yard, followed by Nick Kurtz (20.5%) and Shea Langeliers (20.4%).

Brent Rooker and Eugenio Suarez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Thursday's home run picks [8/7/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jake Fraley (Reds) to hit a home run

• Probability: 10.1%
• Odds: +1350
• Edge: 3.2%
• Game: Reds vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Paul Skenes

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Cincinnati slugger Jake Fraley offers standout value at +1350 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.2%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Pirates starter Paul Skenes, Fraley shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 38 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Thursday, August 7, 2025]

• Athletics vs. Nationals (12:05PM ET, Thursday)
• White Sox vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Reds vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

For August 7, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jake Fraley who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.2% edge at +1350 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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