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Home run predictions for Wednesday include Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh [8/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, August 6, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for August 6, 2025
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 24.8% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 23.0% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 22.9% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 🔒 |
| Pete Alonso (Mets) | 🔒 |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 🔒 |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.8% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.9%).
Cal Raleigh and Pete Alonso are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Join Dimers Pro now.
Wednesday's home run picks [8/6/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Jake Fraley (Reds) to hit a home run
- Probability: 10.3%
- Odds: +1450
- Edge: 3.9%
- Game: Reds vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Cade Horton
Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Cincinnati slugger Jake Fraley offers standout value at +1450 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
In a matchup against Cubs starter Cade Horton, Fraley shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Wednesday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 92 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, August 6, 2025]
- Orioles vs. Phillies (12:35PM ET, Wednesday)
- Giants vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Wednesday)
- Guardians vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Reds vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Wednesday)
- Yankees vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET, Wednesday)
- Blue Jays vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Cardinals vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Astros vs. Marlins (4:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Athletics vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Wednesday)
- Royals vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Brewers vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Wednesday)
- Padres vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
For August 6, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jake Fraley who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 3.9% edge at +1450 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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