Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Aaron Judge, Pete Alonso [8/5/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, August 5, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for August 5, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	24.0%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	23.8%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	23.2%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets)	🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)	🔒
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners)	🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics)	🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays)	🔒
Mike Trout (Angels)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.0% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.8%) and Kyle Schwarber (23.2%).

Cal Raleigh and Pete Alonso are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Tuesday's home run picks [8/5/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

TJ Friedl (Reds) to hit a home run

• Probability: 10.1%
• Odds: +1500
• Edge: 3.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Shota Imanaga

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Cincinnati slugger TJ Friedl offers standout value at +1500 with Bet365, showing an edge of 3.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Shota Imanaga on the mound for the Cubs, Friedl shapes up as one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a packed MLB slate.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 94 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, August 5, 2025]

• Giants vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Twins vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Athletics vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Royals vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)
• Guardians vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)
• Brewers vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
• Reds vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Yankees vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rays vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Tuesday)
• White Sox vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Padres vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For August 5, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's TJ Friedl who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.9% edge at +1500 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

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