Home run predictions for Sunday include Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh [8/17/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, August 17, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.

Home run predictions for August 17, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.2% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (23.4%) and Shohei Ohtani (21.4%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [8/17/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Everson Pereira (Rays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13%
• Odds: +1150
• Edge: 5.0%
• Game: Rays vs. Giants (4:05PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Logan Webb

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Tampa Bay slugger Everson Pereira offers serious value at +1150 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 5.0%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Logan Webb on the mound for the Giants, Pereira shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Sunday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 107 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Sunday, August 17, 2025]

• Marlins vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Rangers vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET, Sunday)
• Brewers vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Orioles vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• White Sox vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Yankees vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)
• Rays vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Angels vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Padres vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Mariners vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Sunday)

Conclusion

For August 17, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Everson Pereira who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 5.0% edge at +1150 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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