Home run predictions for Friday include Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh [8/15/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, August 15, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for August 15, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.8% chance to go deep, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (22.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.0%).

Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [8/15/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Francisco Alvarez (Mets) to hit a home run

• Probability: 16.5%
• Odds: +700
• Edge: 4.0%
• Game: Mariners vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Luis Castillo

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Francisco Alvarez offers standout value at +700 with Bet365, showing an edge of 4.0%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Luis Castillo in tonight's Mariners-Mets matchup, Alvarez shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 101 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Friday, August 15, 2025]

• Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• Phillies vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Rangers vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
• Mariners vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Marlins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Braves vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Orioles vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• White Sox vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Tigers vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Yankees vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Angels vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Friday)
• Rays vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

For August 15, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Francisco Alvarez who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 4.0% edge at +700 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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