Home run predictions for Thursday include Kyle Schwarber, Juan Soto [8/14/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, August 14, 2025, are here—with Kyle Schwarber topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for August 14, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	23.4%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	22.6%
Pete Alonso (Mets)	20.9%
Hunter Goodman (Rockies)	🔒
Juan Soto (Mets)	🔒
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers)	🔒
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners)	🔒
Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks)	🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins)	🔒
Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks)	🔒

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.4% chance to go deep, followed by Cal Raleigh (22.6%) and Pete Alonso (20.9%).

Hunter Goodman and Juan Soto are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Thursday's home run picks [8/14/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.9%
• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.4%
• Game: Cubs vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Matthew Boyd

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Toronto slugger Daulton Varsho offers serious value at +700 with Bet365, showing an edge of 3.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Cubs starter Matthew Boyd, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Varsho one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 50 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Thursday, August 14, 2025]

• Mariners vs. Orioles (1:05PM ET, Thursday)
• Cubs vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Thursday)
• Marlins vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Phillies vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Thursday)
• Braves vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Tigers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

For August 14, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Cal Raleigh and Pete Alonso projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Daulton Varsho who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 3.4% edge at +700 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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