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Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber [8/12/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions today are based on Tuesday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, August 12, 2025, are in—with Shohei Ohtani leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.


Home run predictions for August 12, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 23.4%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 23.2%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 22.0%
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 🔒
Mike Trout (Angels) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 🔒
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.4% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (23.2%) and Cal Raleigh (22.0%).

Junior Caminero and Shea Langeliers are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Cal Raleigh 2025.
Cal Raleigh appears in our home run predictions on Tuesday, August 12, 2025.

Tuesday's home run picks [8/12/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Francisco Alvarez (Mets) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 16.2%
  • Odds: +650
  • Edge: 2.9%
  • Game: Braves vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Spencer Strider

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Francisco Alvarez offers serious value at +650 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 2.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Spencer Strider in tonight's Braves-Mets matchup, Alvarez shapes up as one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a loaded MLB slate.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 69 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, August 12, 2025]

Conclusion

For August 12, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Francisco Alvarez who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 2.9% edge at +650 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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