Home run predictions for Monday include Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton [8/11/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, August 11, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for August 11, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.1% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.5%) and Shohei Ohtani (22.2%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [8/11/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jesus Sanchez (Astros) to hit a home run

• Probability: 12.9%
• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 3.8%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Garrett Crochet

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Houston slugger Jesus Sanchez offers serious value at +1000 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Garrett Crochet in tonight's Red Sox-Astros matchup, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Sanchez one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 52 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Monday, August 11, 2025]

• Nationals vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Rockies vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Monday)
• D-Backs vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Monday)
• Red Sox vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Monday)
• Dodgers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Monday)
• Padres vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

For August 11, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jesus Sanchez who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 3.8% edge at +1000 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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