Home run predictions for Sunday include Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton [8/10/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, August 10, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.

Home run predictions for August 10, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.3% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.0%) and Cal Raleigh (22.4%).

Kyle Schwarber and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep..

Sunday's home run picks [8/10/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jose Trevino (Reds) to hit a home run

• Probability: 10.6%
• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 2.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Mike Burrows

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Cincinnati slugger Jose Trevino offers standout value at +1200 with Bet365, showing an edge of 2.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Pirates starter Mike Burrows, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Trevino has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Sunday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 45 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Sunday, August 10, 2025]

• Reds vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Phillies vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Nationals vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Rays vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Red Sox vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Sunday)

Conclusion

For August 10, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jose Trevino who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 2.9% edge at +1200 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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