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Home run predictions for Friday include Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh [8/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, August 1, 2025, are in—with Shohei Ohtani leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for August 1, 2025
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 23.1% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 22.4% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 21.7% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 🔒 |
| Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) | 🔒 |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 🔒 |
| Pete Alonso (Mets) | 🔒 |
| Hunter Goodman (Rockies) | 🔒 |
| Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 🔒 |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.1% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.4%) and Cal Raleigh (21.7%).
Giancarlo Stanton and Eugenio Suarez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.
Friday's home run picks [8/1/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Coby Mayo (Orioles) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.5%
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 3.4%
- Game: Orioles vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Cade Horton
Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Baltimore slugger Coby Mayo offers serious value at +1000 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 3.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
In a matchup against Cubs starter Cade Horton, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Mayo has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 62 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Friday, August 1, 2025]
- Braves vs. Reds (12:40PM ET, Friday)
- Orioles vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
- Tigers vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Brewers vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
- Giants vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Yankees vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Twins vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Dodgers vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Friday)
- Cardinals vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- Rangers vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
For August 1, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Coby Mayo who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.4% edge at +1000 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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