Home run predictions for Thursday include Cal Raleigh, Giancarlo Stanton [7/31/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, July 31, 2025, are in—with Cal Raleigh topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run bets today.

Home run predictions for July 31, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	21.8%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	19.8%
Junior Caminero (Rays)	18.8%
Brandon Lowe (Rays)	🔒
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees)	🔒
Ben Rice (Yankees)	🔒
Matt Olson (Braves)	🔒
Corey Seager (Rangers)	🔒
Marcell Ozuna (Braves)	🔒
Austin Riley (Braves)	🔒

Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.8% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (19.8%) and Junior Caminero (18.8%).

Brandon Lowe and Jazz Chisholm are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Thursday's home run picks [7/31/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jonny DeLuca (Rays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 10.5%
• Odds: +1250
• Edge: 3.1%
• Game: Rays vs. Yankees (1:05PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Marcus Stroman

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Tampa Bay slugger Jonny DeLuca offers standout value at +1250 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.1%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Yankees starter Marcus Stroman, DeLuca shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 13 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Thursday, July 31, 2025]

• Rays vs. Yankees (1:05PM ET, Thursday)
• Rangers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

For July 31, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Giancarlo Stanton and Junior Caminero projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jonny DeLuca who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 3.1% edge at +1250 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.