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Home run predictions for Wednesday include Shohei Ohtani, Giancarlo Stanton [7/30/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, July 30, 2025, are in—with Shohei Ohtani leading the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which highlight the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for July 30, 2025
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 23.3% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 22.5% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 21.6% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 🔒 |
| Pete Alonso (Mets) | 🔒 |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 🔒 |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Mike Trout (Angels) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.3% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.5%) and Cal Raleigh (21.6%).
Nick Kurtz and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Join Dimers Pro now.
Wednesday's home run picks [7/30/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Martin Maldonado (Padres) to hit a home run
- Probability: 10%
- Odds: +1500
- Edge: 3.8%
- Game: Mets vs. Padres (4:10PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Clay Holmes
Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, San Diego slugger Martin Maldonado offers serious value at +1500 with Bet365, showing an edge of 3.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
In a matchup against Mets starter Clay Holmes, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Maldonado one of the best home run picks today on Wednesday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 76 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, July 30, 2025]
- Red Sox vs. Twins (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Braves vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Cubs vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Phillies vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Nationals vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Pirates vs. Giants (3:45PM ET, Wednesday)
- Mets vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Rockies vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Rays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Wednesday)
- Marlins vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Wednesday)
- Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Wednesday)
- Mariners vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
For July 30, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Martin Maldonado who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.8% edge at +1500 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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