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Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Giancarlo Stanton [7/28/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions today are based on Monday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, July 28, 2025, are here—with Shohei Ohtani topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Monday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for July 28, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 23.2%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 23.2%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 22.4%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Fernando Tatis (Padres) 🔒

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.2% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (23.2%) and Nick Kurtz (22.4%).

Cal Raleigh and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Shohei Ohtani 2025.
Shohei Ohtani features in today's home run predictions on Monday, July 28, 2025.

Monday's home run picks [7/28/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

James Wood (Nationals) to hit a home run

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Washington slugger James Wood offers serious value at +900 with Bet365, showing an edge of 3.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Framber Valdez in tonight's Nationals-Astros matchup, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Wood one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 100 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Monday, July 28, 2025]

Conclusion

For July 28, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Nick Kurtz projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's James Wood who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 3.9% edge at +900 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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