Home run predictions for Saturday include Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani [7/26/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, July 26, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Saturday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for July 26, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	25.6%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	23.7%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)	22.6%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	🔒
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets)	🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics)	🔒
Mike Trout (Angels)	🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.6% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.7%) and Nick Kurtz (22.6%).

Kyle Schwarber and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Saturday's home run picks [7/26/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Francisco Alvarez (Mets) to hit a home run

• Probability: 17.3%
• Odds: +775
• Edge: 5.9%
• Game: Mets vs. Giants (9:05PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Robbie Ray

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Francisco Alvarez offers serious value at +775 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 5.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Robbie Ray on the mound for the Giants, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Alvarez one of the best home run picks today on Saturday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 135 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Saturday, July 26, 2025]

• Phillies vs. Yankees (1:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Blue Jays vs. Tigers (6:10PM ET, Saturday)
• D-Backs vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Saturday)
• Rockies vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Braves vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Athletics vs. Astros (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Cubs vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Nationals vs. Twins (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Marlins vs. Brewers (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Guardians vs. Royals (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Dodgers vs. Red Sox (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Padres vs. Cardinals (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Mets vs. Giants (9:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Mariners vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

For July 26, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Nick Kurtz projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Francisco Alvarez who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 5.9% edge at +775 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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