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Home run predictions for Friday include Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh [7/25/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, July 25, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for July 25, 2025
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 25.2% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 23.2% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 22.3% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 🔒 |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 🔒 |
| Mike Trout (Angels) | 🔒 |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 🔒 |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 🔒 |
| Pete Alonso (Mets) | 🔒 |
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.2% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.2%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.3%).
Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.
Friday's home run picks [7/25/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Francisco Alvarez (Mets) to hit a home run
- Probability: 16%
- Odds: +900
- Edge: 6.0%
- Game: Mets vs. Giants (10:15PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Logan Webb
Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Francisco Alvarez offers standout value at +900 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 6.0%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
With Logan Webb on the mound for the Giants, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Alvarez one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 90 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Friday, July 25, 2025]
- Marlins vs. Brewers (4:10PM ET, Friday)
- D-Backs vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
- Rockies vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET, Friday)
- Blue Jays vs. Tigers (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Dodgers vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Cubs vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Friday)
- Braves vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Friday)
- Nationals vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Guardians vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Athletics vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Mariners vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
- Mets vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
For July 25, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Francisco Alvarez who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 6.0% edge at +900 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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