Home run predictions for Thursday include Cal Raleigh, Brent Rooker [7/24/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, July 24, 2025, are in—with Cal Raleigh topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for July 24, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	20.4%
Fernando Tatis (Padres)	17.9%
Mike Trout (Angels)	17.7%
Brent Rooker (Athletics)	🔒
Jo Adell (Angels)	🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics)	🔒
Jose Ramirez (Guardians)	🔒
Manny Machado (Padres)	🔒
Logan O'Hoppe (Angels)	🔒
Christian Walker (Astros)	🔒

Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.4% chance to go deep, followed by Fernando Tatis (17.9%) and Mike Trout (17.7%).

Brent Rooker and Jo Adell are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Thursday's home run picks [7/24/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Martin Maldonado (Padres) to hit a home run

• Probability: 10.5%
• Odds: +1400
• Edge: 3.8%
• Game: Padres vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Sonny Gray

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, San Diego slugger Martin Maldonado offers standout value at +1400 with Bet365, showing an edge of 3.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Sonny Gray in tonight's Padres-Cardinals matchup, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Maldonado one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 14 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Thursday, July 24, 2025]

• Orioles vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Blue Jays vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Padres vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Thursday)
• Athletics vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

For July 24, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Fernando Tatis and Mike Trout projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Martin Maldonado who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 3.8% edge at +1400 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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