Home run predictions for Wednesday include Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh [7/23/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, July 23, 2025, are here—with Shohei Ohtani leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Wednesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for July 23, 2025

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.9% chance to go deep, followed by Aaron Judge (23.3%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.2%).

Cal Raleigh and Caminero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Wednesday's home run picks [7/23/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.9%
• Odds: +675
• Edge: 3.0%
• Game: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Max Fried

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Toronto slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. offers serious value at +675 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.0%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Max Fried in tonight's Yankees-Blue Jays matchup, Jr. shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Wednesday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 71 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, July 23, 2025]

• Reds vs. Nationals (12:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Padres vs. Marlins (12:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Giants vs. Braves (12:15PM ET, Wednesday)
• Tigers vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Angels vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Astros vs. D-Backs (3:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Brewers vs. Mariners (3:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Wednesday)
• White Sox vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

For July 23, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.0% edge at +675 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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