Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Aaron Judge, Pete Alonso [7/22/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, July 22, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

We don't guess. Tuesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for July 22, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	24.5%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	23.3%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	22.8%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets)	🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays)	🔒
Juan Soto (Mets)	🔒
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics)	🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.5% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.3%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.8%).

Cal Raleigh and Pete Alonso are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Tuesday's home run picks [7/22/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Josh Naylor (D-Backs) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.2%
• Odds: +1050
• Edge: 4.5%
• Game: Astros vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: N/A

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Arizona slugger Josh Naylor offers standout value at +1050 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.5%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Astros starter N/A, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Naylor one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a packed MLB slate.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 107 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, July 22, 2025]

• Padres vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Orioles vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Tigers vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Reds vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Red Sox vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Tuesday)
• Angels vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)
• Giants vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
• White Sox vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Tuesday)
• Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Royals vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Astros vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Brewers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Twins vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For July 22, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Josh Naylor who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.5% edge at +1050 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

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