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Home run predictions for Friday include Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh [7/18/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions today are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, July 18, 2025, are in—with Shohei Ohtani leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

These aren't guesses. Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for July 18, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 22.3%
Pete Alonso (Mets) 19.9%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 19.9%
Byron Buxton (Twins) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒
Fernando Tatis (Padres) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒
Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Hunter Goodman (Rockies) 🔒

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.3% chance to go yard, followed by Pete Alonso (19.9%) and Cal Raleigh (19.9%).

Byron Buxton and Juan Soto are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Cal Raleigh 2025.
Cal Raleigh features in our home run predictions on Friday, July 18, 2025.

Friday's home run picks [7/18/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Max Muncy (Athletics) to hit a home run

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, slugger Max Muncy offers serious value at +800 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 5.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Slade Cecconi on the mound for the Guardians, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Muncy has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 54 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Friday, July 18, 2025]

Conclusion

For July 18, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Pete Alonso and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Max Muncy who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 5.8% edge at +800 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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