Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Shohei Ohtani, Giancarlo Stanton [8/19/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, August 19, 2025, are in—with Shohei Ohtani leading the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for August 19, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	24.6%
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	24.3%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	22.8%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays)	🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets)	🔒
Juan Soto (Mets)	🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins)	🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)	🔒

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.6% chance to go yard, followed by Aaron Judge (24.3%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.8%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [8/19/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Josh Naylor (Mariners) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.4%
• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.9%
• Game: Mariners vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Cristopher Sánchez

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Seattle slugger Josh Naylor offers serious value at +850 with Bet365, showing an edge of 2.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Naylor one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a packed MLB schedule.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 135 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, August 19, 2025]

• Astros vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Cardinals vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Blue Jays vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mariners vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mets vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Orioles vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)
• White Sox vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
• Yankees vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rangers vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Athletics vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Brewers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Guardians vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For August 19, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Josh Naylor who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 2.9% edge at +850 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

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