Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Kerry Carpenter [8/18/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, August 18, 2025, are here—with Shohei Ohtani leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for August 18, 2025

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.2% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.2%) and Cal Raleigh (21.2%).

Kerry Carpenter and Teoscar Hernandez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [8/18/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

James McCann (D-Backs) to hit a home run

• Probability: 10%
• Odds: +1150
• Edge: 2.0%
• Game: Guardians vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: N/A

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Arizona slugger James McCann offers serious value at +1150 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 2.0%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Guardians starter N/A, factoring in both projection edge and odds, McCann has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 90 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Monday, August 18, 2025]

• Blue Jays vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Astros vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Cardinals vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Mariners vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Monday)
• Orioles vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Monday)
• White Sox vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Monday)
• Rangers vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Monday)
• Giants vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Guardians vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

For August 18, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's James McCann who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 2.0% edge at +1150 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.