Home run predictions for Thursday include Aaron Judge, Junior Caminero [9/18/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Thursday, September 18, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Thursday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for September 18, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	24.7%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	23.0%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	21.8%
Junior Caminero (Rays)	🔒
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)	🔒
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees)	🔒
Jo Adell (Angels)	🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets)	🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.7% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (23.0%) and Cal Raleigh (21.8%).

Junior Caminero and Shohei Ohtani are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Thursday's home run picks [9/18/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Kyle Manzardo (Guardians) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.9%
• Odds: +800
• Edge: 4.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Tarik Skubal

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Cleveland slugger Kyle Manzardo offers serious value at +800 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Tarik Skubal on the mound for the Tigers, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Manzardo one of the best home run picks today on Thursday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 68 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Thursday, September 18, 2025]

• Guardians vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Blue Jays vs. Rays (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Padres vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Athletics vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Thursday)
• Mariners vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Marlins vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Yankees vs. Orioles (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
• Cubs vs. Reds (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
• Angels vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Thursday)

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Conclusion

For September 18, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Manzardo who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.8% edge at +800 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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