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Home run predictions for Sunday include Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh [9/28/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for September 28, 2025, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, September 28, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for September 28, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 25.6%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 25.2%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 24.6%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒
Jo Adell (Angels) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.6% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (25.2%) and Giancarlo Stanton (24.6%).

Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Kyle Schwarber 2025.
Kyle Schwarber features in our home run predictions on Sunday, September 28, 2025.

Sunday's home run picks [9/28/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Hunter Goodman (Rockies) to hit a home run

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Colorado slugger Hunter Goodman offers standout value at +750 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 5.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Giants starter Logan Webb, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Goodman has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Sunday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 120 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Sunday, September 28, 2025]

Conclusion

For September 28, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Hunter Goodman who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 5.9% edge at +750 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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