Home run predictions for Saturday include Aaron Judge, Junior Caminero [9/20/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, September 20, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Saturday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for September 20, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	26.3%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	23.2%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	22.4%
Junior Caminero (Rays)	🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	🔒
Jo Adell (Angels)	🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics)	🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets)	🔒
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.3% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (23.2%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.4%).

Junior Caminero and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's home run picks [9/20/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jac Caglianone (Royals) to hit a home run

• Probability: 14.1%
• Odds: +850
• Edge: 3.6%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Royals (7:10PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Shane Bieber

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Kansas City slugger Jac Caglianone offers serious value at +850 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.6%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Shane Bieber on the mound for the Blue Jays, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Caglianone has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Saturday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 106 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Saturday, September 20, 2025]

• Braves vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Nationals vs. Mets (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Athletics vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Saturday)
• Yankees vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Red Sox vs. Rays (7:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Marlins vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Blue Jays vs. Royals (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Mariners vs. Astros (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Phillies vs. D-Backs (8:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Giants vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

For September 20, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jac Caglianone who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.6% edge at +850 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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