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Home run predictions for Friday include , [9/26/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for September 26, 2025, are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, September 26, 2025, are here—with topping the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.

Home run predictions for September 26, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection

Our analysis shows leads today's MLB home run predictions with a % chance to go deep, followed by (%) and (%).

and are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep. appears in today's home run predictions on Friday, September 26, 2025.

Friday's home run picks [9/26/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 18.2%
  • Odds: +675
  • Edge: 5.3%
  • Game: Tigers vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Kyle Harrison

Ranked as the No. 1 player in today's home run predictions, Detroit slugger Kerry Carpenter offers serious value at +675 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 5.3%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Kyle Harrison on the mound for the Red Sox, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Carpenter one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 108 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Friday, September 26, 2025]

Conclusion

For September 26, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kerry Carpenter who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 5.3% edge at +675 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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