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Home run predictions for Friday include Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani [9/26/2025]
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, September 26, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for September 26, 2025
Player (Team) | Home Run Probability |
---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 26.02% |
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 23.73% |
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 22.46% |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 🔒 |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 🔒 |
Junior Caminero (TB) | 🔒 |
Juan Soto (NYM) | 🔒 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 🔒 |
Jo Adell (LAA) | 🔒 |
Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Aaron Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (24%) and Giancarlo Stanton (23%).
Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep. features in our home run predictions on Friday, September 26, 2025.
Friday's home run picks [9/26/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 17.5%
- Odds: +675
- Edge: 4.6%
- Game: Tigers vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Kyle Harrison
Ranked as the No. 1 player in today's home run predictions, Detroit slugger Kerry Carpenter offers serious value at +675 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.6%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
Set to face Kyle Harrison in tonight's Tigers-Red Sox matchup, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Carpenter has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 103 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Friday, September 26, 2025]
- Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
- White Sox vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Twins vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Orioles vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
- Rays vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
- Tigers vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Mets vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Rangers vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Pirates vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
- Reds vs. Brewers (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Dodgers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- D-Backs vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- Rockies vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
For September 26, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kerry Carpenter who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.6% edge at +675 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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